I exclude rookies or 2nd year pros out of my rankings because there is not enough sample size for my liking. That means that Kyler Murray, Daniel Jones, Dwayne Haskins, Drew Lock, Gardner Minshew are excluded as well as Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert.
That leaves just 25 QBs left to judge. You can then eliminate names as you go with Ryan, Wentz, Goff, Brady, Prescott, Rivers, Rodgers, Wilson, Watson, Garoppolo, Mahomes, Cousins, Lamar Jackson, Brees, Tannehill, Stafford, Roethlisberger not in contention. Suddenly you only have 8 QBs left.
Those QBs are Baker Mayfield, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Derek Carr, Josh Allen, Sam Darnold, Teddy Bridgewater, Mitchell Trubisky and Cam Newton remaining.
Two seasons of Baker and one good rookie year remove him as an option for me, and while Teddy Bridgewater isn’t great, I think he is good enough in a system. That leaves just six remaining for five places, and I think Derek Carr is the guy who just avoids the list.
Cam Newton is therefore left to be a bottom 5 QB but only just. If he continues like he has the for the rest of the season, then Cam will jump up a lot of places as I believe if healthy he’s a top 20 QB at worst but sadly its more a “when” Cam gets injured rather than “if” Cam gets injured.
At the end of the offseason, I will be going through each analytics article and updating them seeing at how things panned out. This article I’m sure will be getting some looking back at if Cam does perform like 2015.
Data Sources: PFF, RBSDM.com/stats.