Analytics Article: Has Josh Allen Peaked?

The graph shows that Allen did improve, but not by much. His PFF Grade slightly decreased (65.3 to 64.2), his QBR dropped (49.8 to 49.4), but his EPA increased (-0.02 to 0.01), and his CPOE increased (-5.23 to -1.30). 

There were calls for Josh Allen to be replaced or at least the thoughts to start the process and you can see why. Looking at a combined view of 2018 and 2019 in one graph, it is clear that Josh Allen wasn’t good enough. Allen ranked 29th out of 36 on EPA/Dropback (0.00) during those two years and 35th out of 36 on CPOE (-2.96). 

Unfortunately (well now potentially, fortunately), the Bills were not in a position to draft a QB. The Bills had the #22 pick (the Bills traded for Stefan Diggs instead), with the only QB on the board there being Jordan Love and Jalen Hurts. 

2020 – The Breakout Year:

The breakout year is truly one of the best seasons in recent years. According to EPA, only three players have had a better single-season; Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes (twice), and Aaron Rodgers since Allen entered the league.